Playoff outcomes are predicted based on just the last 4 weeks of league stats... you know, who's hot and who's not. Anyway, each playoff team's average over the last 4 weeks for each category is shown below. Category-by-category comparison gives the prediction of each playoff game.
Sep 1, 2003
With four categories in a virtual dead heat, this could be a close game. However, Chewie's lead in his 6 categories is formidable. Sneaking out one or more of those 4 too-close-to-call categories should be doable for the Chewie.
| Team | Run | Hr | Rbi | Sb | Tb | Ave | Obp | W | Sv | K | Sba | Era | Whip |
| Chewies | 40.0 | 8.8 | 29.8 | 1.5 | 106.3 | 0.293 | 0.378 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 36.0 | 2.3 | 2.93 | 1.10 |
| Jennas | 29.3 | 7.8 | 31.0 | 2.0 | 94.5 | 0.293 | 0.374 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 36.8 | 3.0 | 4.66 | 1.38 |
| diff | 10.8 | 1.0 | (1.3) | (0.5) | 11.8 | 0.000 | 0.004 | 0.0 | (2.5) | (0.8) | 0.8 | 1.73 | 0.28 |
Looks like Mackey is the strong favorite in this one.
| Mackey | 36.5 | 10.0 | 34.5 | 3.5 | 104.0 | 0.277 | 0.347 | 4.3 | 2.8 | 39.8 | 1.5 | 4.19 | 1.30 |
| Topes | 31.3 | 8.0 | 32.0 | 2.8 | 104.0 | 0.280 | 0.330 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 35.5 | 2.8 | 3.47 | 1.22 |
| diff | 5.3 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | (0.003) | 0.017 | 2.0 | (0.5) | 4.3 | 1.3 | (0.72) | (0.08) |
Here's how our two bye guys look over the last 4 weeks.
| Homowners | 36.0 | 10.3 | 38.0 | 2.5 | 109.0 | 0.310 | 0.386 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 50.3 | 2.0 | 3.68 | 1.33 |
| ChiTown | 31.3 | 9.5 | 29.0 | 2.5 | 105.0 | 0.295 | 0.365 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 46.8 | 2.3 | 3.57 | 1.20 |
| diff | 4.8 | 0.8 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.015 | 0.021 | 1.5 | (1.3) | 3.5 | 0.3 | (0.11) | (0.13) |
Also, for you BPR (Bill Power Ranking) devotees, BPR for the last 4 weeks is:
| 1. | Homowner 38 |
| 2. | Mackey 53 |
| 3. | ChiTown 55 |
| 4. | Chewie 60 |
| 5. | Tope 75 |
| 6. | Jenna 84 |
The Homowner, on quite the jag, lead the league in 7 categories over the last four weeks.
Next week, the semi-finals: Homowner v. Chewie? ChiTown v. Mackey? We shall see.
yow, bill